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POLITICAL BRIEFING BULLETIN #40

HOW TO WIN AN ANC ELECTION

Road map to 2022 ANC Elective Conference

FEATURED IN THIS BULLETIN *

  • PART 1

    WHO ARE THE CONTENDERS FOR THE TOP SPOTS?

  • PART 2

    WHO DECIDES? THE VOTING PROCESS

  • PART 3

    KEY RISKS TO SA

APRIL 2022

“Will Ramaphosa get second term?” remains the predominant political question of 2022, but with Ramaphosa looking like the only serious contender for the ANC presidency, the question may become more of “what will Ramaphosa’s second term look like?” and “will he be able to shake off the ANC drag factor?”

Will it be based on the same rocky foundations as the first – a hollow victory and five more years of compromise and paralysis? Or, will a more comprehensive victory for the Ramaphosa forces breed “Cyril 2.0” – a powerful President with nothing to lose or fear in what would be his final term as President of the Republic?

* To get the full bulletin and/or benefit from our continuous insights, please contact us

Is South Africa a failed state?

How will we know if it gets there?

What is SA’s prognosis? How fragile or failed is it really? Will one be able to tell when the point of no return is reached and an inexorable slide towards ‘failure’ occurs? Or is it a case of being the proverbial frog in boiling water and not being able to detect the danger that lies ahead?

What's in the Report:

  • Is SA a failed state?
  • An index to measure state failure and fragility
  • In-depth evaluation of SA’s performance and prognosis

To get the full report, please contact mike.law@thepaternostergroup.com

COVID-19 RISK RUNDOWN

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In Association with Financial Mail

Click on the links below to view full article:

COVID-19 RISK RUNDOWN

Covid-19’s winners and losers

The Covid-19 crisis has deepened divisions between the ruling ANC and the opposition DA. But if there were ever a time for multiparty co-operation and a shared national vision, this would be it
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    POLITICAL BRIEFINGS

Our monthly bulletins tracking the most important trends in South African politics and their impact on the economy.

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