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Author: paultooze

Home Articles Posted by paultooze (Page 2)

WHAT IF… SOUTH AFRICA ‘DOES A BRAZIL’?

IN DEPTH
Political scenarios in a time of economic crisis. Brazil continues to reel from a combined political and economic crisis that saw the country downgraded to junk status by the ratings agencies and its economic growth fall to -4% earlier this year. No one predicted the...

Mining the depth and scope of the ANC’s decline

MEDIA
Nathan Dufour and Richard Calland Electoral Institute for Sustainable Democracy in Africa (EISA), 6 September 2016 There has been much debate about the extent of, and the reasons for, the ANC’s ‘bad result’ in the ‘game-changing’ August 2016 local government election. This article, written for...

African Political Insight no 2

INSIGHTS
WHAT NOW?: SA’s New Political Landscape: Three Fresh Scenarios SOUTH AFRICA’S political map has changed significantly. The coalition negotiations that have followed the local government elections have confirmed their game-changing implications. The ANC has suffered major setbacks, and has lost power in most of the...

African Political Insight no 1

INSIGHTS
WHAT NOW? : South Africa’s 2016 Local Government Elections SOUTH Africa’s local government elections have changed the political game. The ANC has suffered a significant blow, with its share of the vote falling beneath 55% nationally and beneath 50% in three key metropolitan areas –...

Business must win friends and influence government

MEDIA
Richard Calland and Lawson Naidoo Business Day, 4 May 2016 IN this article, the authors argue that the current phase of South African politics – complex, erratic, and increasingly risky — requires dexterity as well as a fundamental commitment by business to engage and to...